Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.000859 0.000978 0.001104 0.001246 0.001403 0.001569 0.001758
2025-02-23 0.000668 0.000832 0.001019 0.001243 0.001504 0.001796 0.002147
2025-03-02 0.000572 0.000759 0.000979 0.001256 0.001590 0.001976 0.002454
2025-03-09 0.000477 0.000671 0.000910 0.001220 0.001609 0.002071 0.002659
2025-03-16 0.000403 0.000598 0.000849 0.001186 0.001619 0.002150 0.002838
2025-03-23 0.000355 0.000554 0.000818 0.001184 0.001666 0.002268 0.003066
2025-03-30 0.000315 0.000516 0.000791 0.001183 0.001711 0.002384 0.003291
2025-04-06 0.000278 0.000478 0.000760 0.001171 0.001739 0.002476 0.003485
2025-04-13 0.000244 0.000439 0.000723 0.001149 0.001750 0.002544 0.003648
2025-04-20 0.000226 0.000424 0.000721 0.001174 0.001824 0.002696 0.003923
2025-04-27 0.000209 0.000407 0.000713 0.001190 0.001886 0.002832 0.004178
2025-05-04 0.000186 0.000379 0.000686 0.001175 0.001903 0.002905 0.004350
2025-05-11 0.000163 0.000350 0.000655 0.001153 0.001908 0.002965 0.004506
2025-05-18 0.000150 0.000336 0.000647 0.001166 0.001965 0.003097 0.004765
2025-05-25 0.000138 0.000321 0.000637 0.001174 0.002014 0.003218 0.005010
2025-06-01 0.000120 0.000293 0.000603 0.001142 0.001999 0.003248 0.005127
2025-06-08 0.000103 0.000268 0.000570 0.001109 0.001982 0.003271 0.005234
2025-06-15 0.000094 0.000253 0.000556 0.001107 0.002012 0.003363 0.005440
2025-06-22 0.000085 0.000241 0.000544 0.001106 0.002043 0.003458 0.005651
2025-06-29 0.000076 0.000226 0.000526 0.001095 0.002058 0.003527 0.005825
2025-07-06 0.000067 0.000209 0.000504 0.001074 0.002055 0.003569 0.005960
2025-07-13 0.000063 0.000206 0.000507 0.001098 0.002125 0.003724 0.006264
2025-07-20 0.000059 0.000200 0.000505 0.001113 0.002181 0.003858 0.006540